Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.492637 0.562025 0.634343 0.715057 0.802346 0.893629 0.996033
2024-12-15 0.415563 0.515747 0.625729 0.754308 0.899403 1.057023 1.240142
2024-12-22 0.337466 0.455501 0.591772 0.758071 0.952942 1.171624 1.433132
2024-12-29 0.294866 0.429309 0.591543 0.796808 1.044809 1.330312 1.679361
2025-01-05 0.246414 0.388661 0.568320 0.803905 1.097004 1.442556 1.873618
2025-01-12 0.206925 0.353587 0.547235 0.809816 1.145313 1.549282 2.062106
2025-01-19 0.179536 0.330752 0.538701 0.829138 1.208804 1.674129 2.273429
2025-01-26 0.158599 0.313921 0.535762 0.853971 1.278383 1.806559 2.495208
2025-02-02 0.140482 0.298572 0.532802 0.877299 1.345330 1.935886 2.714338
2025-02-09 0.118145 0.273092 0.512554 0.874703 1.376700 2.019547 2.876789
2025-02-16 0.103179 0.257479 0.505045 0.888537 1.429184 2.130058 3.073574
2025-02-23 0.086688 0.236409 0.486993 0.885472 1.457508 2.208713 3.230028
2025-03-02 0.068140 0.208354 0.455712 0.861651 1.456904 2.250338 3.341288
2025-03-09 0.059091 0.197375 0.451104 0.877061 1.511090 2.365004 3.548235
2025-03-16 0.047039 0.177280 0.428968 0.863919 1.523562 2.423377 3.682043
2025-03-23 0.042703 0.173819 0.435436 0.895451 1.600817 2.570150 3.933446
2025-03-30 0.035237 0.160899 0.423503 0.896647 1.633254 2.655821 4.104637
2025-04-06 0.029023 0.149409 0.412926 0.899080 1.666978 2.743190 4.278548
2025-04-13 0.025175 0.143414 0.412182 0.917386 1.724406 2.863774 4.497808
2025-04-20 0.022374 0.139755 0.415585 0.942460 1.792168 2.999223 4.737962
2025-04-27 0.019796 0.136036 0.418442 0.966453 1.858467 3.133161 4.977085
2025-05-04 0.015698 0.125463 0.405973 0.963133 1.882329 3.207153 5.135195
2025-05-11 0.013273 0.120026 0.403821 0.977545 1.933629 3.320364 5.347478